i'll go out on a limb here...
Stating the obvious: W’s gonna bomb. Oliver Stone jumped the shark with Born on the Fourth of July; people on the right will hate it without seeing it; and even the rabidly liberal probably don’t want to spend their Saturday night reliving the present in a dark room, even if it is Josh Brolin. Best line from the Times review, on Brolin’s performance: “Good as he is, he can’t touch the original.”
Update: I love this line from Dave Winer’s review: “Well, it was a nice movie, but I never really got into the plot. It could be I know too much about the actual story, like having read the book before seeing the movie.”